J. S. Goldstein, Long Cycles : Prosperity and War in the Modern Age

J. S. Goldstein, Long Cycles : Prosperity and War in the Modern Age, New Haven, Yale University Press, 1988 – Full text in pdf format as put online by J. S. Goldstein.

Contents, Preface

1. World System and World Views

2. The Long Wave Debate 1 : Roots

3. The Long Wave Debate 2 : The Current Debate

4. The Long Wave Debate 3 : Empirical Arguments

5. The War/Hegemony Debate 1 : Roots

6. The War/Hegemony Debate 2 : The Current Debate

7. Knowledge Cumulation in the Long Cycle Field

8. Defining Long Cycles : Epistemology and Methodology

9. Data Analysis 1 : Prices

10. Data Analysis 2 : Real Economic Variables

11. Data Analysis 3 : War

12. Toward a Theory of Long Waves

13. Continuity and Change : 1495 to 1648

14. Continuity and Change : Since 1648

15 . The Past and the Future

Data Appendices

References

Index

Related article : 1989 conference paper at International Economic Association, Copenhagen (pub. 1991)

Related article : 2005 conference paper at NATO conference, Covilha, Portugal